Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 10 Nov at 10:08 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

L. Musetti vs A. De Minaur

Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti

Flag ITA ITA

w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur

Flag AUS AUS

w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
w
l

4

Win

5

Played

1

Win

23
Age
26
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
8
C. Rank
7
6
Best Rank
6
2
Total Titles
10
0
YTD Titles
1
$7.7M
Career Money
$13.8M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Musetti 4 - 1 Minaur

They have played 15 sets in total, with Lorenzo Musetti winning 9 and Alex De Minaur winning 6. The last match between Lorenzo Musetti and Alex De Minaur was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 11-11-2025, Round: Robin, Surface: I.hard, with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 7-5 3-6 7-5.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Musetti4
Minaur1
Last 5 H2H Matches:

(RobinNitto ATP Finals - Turin(11-11-25)

I.hard
ITA Flag
Lorenzo Musetti
7
3
7
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
5
6
5

(R4Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-30-25)

Clay
ITA Flag
Lorenzo Musetti
6
6
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
4
2

(SFMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo(04-12-25)

Clay
ITA Flag
Lorenzo Musetti
1
6
7
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
6
4
6

L. Musetti vs A. D. Minaur H2H Profile

Stats
$7,655,980Career Prize Money$13,814,330
59.29% (268-184)Career Total W/L64.47% (421-232)
2Clay0
1Grass0
0Hard1
1Indoor0
6Titles12
4Total H2H Matches1
67.16% (45-22)YTD Win/Loss70.00% (56-24)
0YTD Titles1

L. Musetti vs A. D. Minaur Match Preview:

  • Lorenzo Musetti's recent second serve points win rate stands at 47.18%, slightly higher than Alex De Minaur's 46.36%. Does this indicate an edge for Musetti in upcoming rallies? It very well could.
  • When it comes to returning, Musetti captures 42.67% of second serve return points, but De Minaur is close behind at 42.98%. Will De Minaur's slight lead in return points translate into match control?
  • De Minaur excels under pressure by saving 54.33% of break points, compared to Musetti's 51.21%. Could this be pivotal for De Minaur in tight moments?
  • In terms of overall match performance over the last year, De Minaur has a marginally better win percentage of 67.90% compared to Musetti's 66.67%.
  • Musetti's strongest surface is clay with a 67% win ratio, while De Minaur excels on grass at the same percentage. Given Musetti's recent win against De Minaur on clay, is he the favorite on this surface?
  • Head-to-head encounters favor Musetti, winning 3 out of 4 matches and 7 out of 12 sets. Could his history of victories over De Minaur provide him with a psychological advantage?
  • Musetti tends to perform well in deciding sets, winning 55% over the last year, compared to De Minaur's 44%. Will this resilience become a crucial factor if the match is evenly poised?
  • Although both players have similar break point conversion rates, De Minaur slightly leads with 26.76% over Musetti's 26.42%. Could this prove decisive in crucial moments?
  • In terms of opponent quality, Musetti has faced slightly stronger players on average, boasting an average opponent rank of 51.27, compared to De Minaur's 59.43. Could this experience make Musetti better prepared for high-pressure match situations?
  • Both players have shown strong performances in their respective preferred levels of play, yet De Minaur has a higher win rate on the Main tour, while Musetti excels in the Masters series. How might the event level influence the outcome?

Editorial Prediction (November 10, 2025, UTC):

With Lorenzo Musetti having a slight edge in second serve performance and head-to-head encounters, he seems well-positioned going into this match. His ability to perform under pressure, particularly in deciding sets, gives him a crucial advantage.

Alex De Minaur, however, is known for his match-winning performance under pressure, saving break points more efficiently. Despite this, Musetti's superior history against De Minaur and his better performance against stronger opponents recently might prove pivotal.

Despite both players having nearly equal break point conversion rates, Musetti's stats on clay could favor him if the match surfaces remain consistent.

Based on recent form and past encounters, Lorenzo Musetti is likely to come out on top in the upcoming tennis match.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

L. Musetti vs A. D. Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
4H2H Matches Won1
9Sets Won6
68Games Won71
19Aces (Total)16
10Total Double Faults6
2:16:33Average Match Time2:16:33
64% (284/446)1st Serve %61% (255/419)
64% (182/284)1st Serve Win %71% (180/255)
49% (79/162)2nd Serve Win %49% (80/164)
44% (18/41)Break Pts Won %42% (21/50)
38% (159/419)Return Points Win %41% (185/446)
100% (4/4)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/4)
0% (0/1)Best‑of‑5 Win %100% (1/1)
100% (3/3)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/3)
67% (2/3)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/2)
33% (1/3)1st Set Won, Lost Match100% (2/2)
100% (2/2)1st Set Lost, Won Match33% (1/3)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Musetti 55%, Minaur 57%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Musetti 53%, Minaur 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Musetti 61%, Minaur 63%.

L. Musetti Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardNitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025

Robin

ESPC. Alcaraz
L
6-4 6-1

Robin

AUSA. De
W
7-5 3-6 7-5

Robin

USAT. Fritz
L
6-3 6-4
I.hardHellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025

F

SRBN. Djokovic
L
4-6 6-3 7-5

SF

USAS. Korda
W
6-0 5-7 7-5

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardNitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025

SF

ITAJ. Sinner
L
7-5 6-2

Robin

USAT. Fritz
W
7-6(3) 6-3

Robin

ITAL. Musetti
L
7-5 3-6 7-5

Robin

ESPC. Alcaraz
L
7-6(5) 6-2
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

QF

KAZA. Bublik
L
6-7(5) 6-4 7-5
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L. Musetti vs A. D. Minaur Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
59.29% (268/184)YTD Win/Loss64.47% (421/232)
56.51% (642/494)Sets Win/Loss60.93% (1001/642)
52.26% (5660/5171)Games Win/Loss53.91% (8383/7167)
54.40% (68/57)Hard Win/Loss67.45% (201/97)
66.51% (141/71)Clay Win/Loss57.25% (75/56)
47.67% (41/45)Indoor Hard W/L62.76% (91/54)
62.07% (18/11)Grass Win/Loss68.35% (54/25)
0.29Aces Per Game0.3
1541Aces Total2269
0.18Double Faults Per Game0.21
932Total Double Faults1616
1:50:28Average Match Time1:45:12
235.59Average Opponent Rank280.15
64% (21521/33459)1st Serve %58% (27310/46777)
69% (14888/21521)1st Serve Win %71% (19283/27327)
53% (6282/11945)2nd Serve Win %54% (10459/19482)
42% (1360/3242)Break Points Won % (Total)43% (2046/4781)
39% (13336/34125)Return Points Win %40% (19470/48360)
61.82% (34/21)Slam W/L64.58% (62/34)
57.14% (56/42)Masters W/L55.20% (69/56)
28.57% (2/5)Cups W/L61.54% (24/15)
58.64% (95/67)Main Tour W/L67.52% (158/76)
33.33% (1/2)Tour Finals W/L14.29% (1/6)
61.54% (56/35)Challenger W/L66.67% (52/26)
65.52% (19/10)Futures W/L74.32% (55/19)
60% (230/386)Best of 3 Sets Win %64% (343/537)
59% (37/63)Best of 5 Sets Win %66% (72/109)
56% (99/177)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)56% (132/234)
60% (84/140)Deciding Set Win %58% (108/187)
85% (248/211)1st Set Won, Won Match88% (401/352)
15% (248/37)1st Set Won, Lost Match12% (401/49)
27% (204/56)1st Set Lost, Won Match27% (252/69)

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